Time: Monday, June 24, 15:00-17:00
Location: 6F, Main Building
Speaker: Professor Priyadarshi R. Shukla, Co-Chair of the Working Group of the University of Ahmedabad, India (IPCC)
IPCC, in response to the invitation by the UNFCCC, prepared a ‘Special Report on the impacts of the global warming of 1.5oC (SR15)’ . The framing of the report included a comparison between global warming of 1.5oC and 2oC above pre-industrial levels. The report’s findings for the comparative warming levels show that global emissions of current nationally stated mitigation ambitions would lead to 52–58 GtCO2eq yr?1 of global GHG emissions in 2030. The pathways reflecting these ambitions would not limit global warming to 1.5°C, even if supplemented by very challenging increases in the scale and ambition of emissions reductions after 2030. Under warming to 1.5°C and 2°C, CO2 emissions should fall by about 45% and 20% respectively by 2030. In 1.5°C compared to 2°C world, there will be less extreme weather where people live and comparatively lower impact on biodiversity behavioural changes
Limiting warming to 1.5°C would require changes on an unprecedented scale requiring deep emissions cuts in all sectors, use of a range of technologies (e.g. Renewables) and increased investment in low carbon options. The systems transitions consistent with 1.5°C warming would encompass alterations in technologies, behaviour, infrastructure, land-use and related urban planning responses. A notable feature of 1.5°C energy systems is the deployment of Carbon Dioxide Removal (CDR) technologies under limited or no overshoot pathways. A silverline to the system transformation story is its close links to United Nations Sustainable Development Goals (SDGs). There are a mix of measures to adapt to climate change and mitigate emissions which can have benefits for SDGs. Institutional arrangements for delivering SDGs of national and sub-national authorities, civil society, the private sector, indigenous peoples and local communities can support ambitious mitigation action. The congruence of the solution space for systems transitions towards 1.5°C global warming and achieving SDGs have opened up opportunities for accelerating the transition to a sustainable low carbon transition. The presentation will open up the discussion on the mitigation challenges and opportunities in the context of preparing IPCC WGIII AR6.
Priyadarshi R. Shukla is a Distinguished Professor at Ahmedabad University. He is currently a co-chair of the Working Group III (Mitigation) of the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change (IPCC). He has been a professor at Indian Institute of Management, Ahmedabad for over three decades. Prof. Shukla has been a member of several prestigious national and international committees in the areas of energy, environment and development. He has led several global energy, environment and development modeling teams. He has co-authored/co-edited fifteen books and numerous publications in the reputed international journals. Prof. Shukla has been a member of the editorial board of several international journals in the areas of energy, environment, climate change and development policies and modeling. He is a consultant to numerous national and international organizations. Prof. Shukla holds Ph.D. from Stanford University.
(Hosted by: Energy and Environmental Policy Research Center, Research and Academic Exchange Center)